Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000148 0.000163 0.000180 0.000200 0.000222 0.000246 0.000274
2025-03-23 0.000117 0.000140 0.000166 0.000199 0.000240 0.000289 0.000351
2025-03-30 0.000102 0.000128 0.000161 0.000206 0.000264 0.000339 0.000443
2025-04-06 0.000087 0.000115 0.000150 0.000201 0.000271 0.000367 0.000510
2025-04-13 0.000074 0.000101 0.000137 0.000191 0.000269 0.000380 0.000556
2025-04-20 0.000067 0.000095 0.000133 0.000191 0.000281 0.000414 0.000635
2025-04-27 0.000063 0.000091 0.000131 0.000196 0.000298 0.000457 0.000734
2025-05-04 0.000057 0.000085 0.000127 0.000194 0.000306 0.000486 0.000814
2025-05-11 0.000054 0.000081 0.000124 0.000196 0.000318 0.000524 0.000914
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000077 0.000120 0.000194 0.000325 0.000553 0.001002
2025-05-25 0.000046 0.000073 0.000116 0.000194 0.000332 0.000583 0.001097
2025-06-01 0.000043 0.000069 0.000112 0.000191 0.000337 0.000608 0.001184
2025-06-08 0.000039 0.000064 0.000105 0.000183 0.000330 0.000613 0.001237
2025-06-15 0.000037 0.000061 0.000103 0.000184 0.000341 0.000655 0.001374
2025-06-22 0.000035 0.000060 0.000104 0.000190 0.000363 0.000722 0.001580
2025-06-29 0.000033 0.000057 0.000099 0.000185 0.000364 0.000744 0.001689
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000052 0.000093 0.000176 0.000354 0.000740 0.001732
2025-07-13 0.000028 0.000050 0.000091 0.000177 0.000364 0.000784 0.001904
2025-07-20 0.000027 0.000049 0.000091 0.000181 0.000381 0.000847 0.002140
2025-07-27 0.000026 0.000047 0.000089 0.000179 0.000388 0.000885 0.002313
2025-08-03 0.000025 0.000046 0.000088 0.000181 0.000400 0.000939 0.002545
2025-08-10 0.000023 0.000044 0.000086 0.000179 0.000406 0.000977 0.002739
2025-08-17 0.000022 0.000043 0.000084 0.000179 0.000412 0.001019 0.002955